America’s Unstable Politics – The New York Times

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America’s Unstable Politics – The New York Times

********* politics was more stable for the past half-century than it had been for most of the country’s history. Incumbent presidents often won re-election. No major political figure was assassinated. The two parties’ basic ideologies and coalitions remained similar.

But yesterday’s remarkable events — in both Washington and Milwaukee, among both Democrats and Republicans — showed how unstable our politics have become.

During the day, attention focused on the turmoil in the Democratic Party, as senior Democrats intensified their efforts to push President Biden out of the presidential race, believing that he is too visibly aged to win re-election. Biden himself has begun to accept the idea that he may have to drop out of the race, people close to him told The Times.

At night, Donald Trump took the stage to accept the *********** presidential nomination — only five days after he was nearly ******* by a gunman, two months after he was convicted of 34 felony counts in New York and three and a half years after he attempted to overturn the last presidential election. Trump gave a speech that was both personal and rambling and that highlighted how different he is from any other recent president. He also demonstrated how he transformed the party over the past decade into a populist-sounding, antiwar, immigration-skeptical movement that Ronald Reagan would hardly recognize.

(Watch my colleague Maggie Haberman break down the speech in this short video.)

It ******** unclear how much Trump would govern as a populist, of course. His proposed policies are a mix of actually populist (like trade restrictions) and laissez-faire (like a large tax cut for the affluent). But these questions underscore the new political uncertainty.

On the Democratic side, the short-term turmoil is greater yet. The chances that Biden will drop out have clearly surged in the past couple of days. But the outcome ******** uncertain. If he does quit the race, will the party quickly support Vice President Kamala Harris as the nominee? Or will the situation be more typical of historical conventions when the nominee was unclear, with a messy, competitive process in which multiple candidates make their cases to delegates?

Regardless, it now seems likely Biden will not be the person who takes the oath of office on Jan. 20, 2025. That would mean that two consecutive presidents — Trump in 2020, Biden in 2024 — left office before they wanted to, when they were eligible to serve another four years. The last time the country experienced such back-to-back presidencies was more than 40 years ago, with Gerald Ford and Jimmy Carter, during the chaotic years of Watergate and oil crises.

In the rest of today’s newsletter, we’ll highlight the key moments from Trump’s speech and update you on the latest Biden developments.

A tech outage has disrupted computer systems around the world. Several major airlines, including *********, ******* and Delta, grounded all flights.

The outage interrupted 9-1-1 services around the U.S., and disabled computers at some hospital systems, including Britain’s National Health Service.

News broadcasts in France, Australia and Britain were knocked off the air.

Follow live updates.

Middle EastMore International NewsOther Big Stories

A federal appeals court blocked the Biden administration’s student loan repayment plan, known as SAVE. Eight million people had enrolled.

Ben Sasse is stepping down as president of the University of Florida. Sasse, a former *********** senator from Nebraska, said he needed to devote more attention to his wife, who was diagnosed with epilepsy.

Lou Dobbs, the cable news host whose *************, business-focused programming embraced *********** theories and ***** over the years, ***** at 78.

Ford will produce gasoline trucks at a ********* plant, reversing a plan to make electric vehicles there.

A fugitive from Oregon was arrested in Georgia, where he had lived for more than a decade under a ***** child’s identity.

Sixty Siamese crocodiles hatched in the wild last month, a milestone for a species that was nearly extinct in the 1990s.

Opinions

Treat Trump with compassion. There is a difference between critiquing his policies and dehumanizing him, David French writes.

By watering down its stance on *********, the *********** Party has abandoned the pro-life movement in the name of electoral success, Patrick T. Brown writes.

The *********** Party looked youthful at its convention, Tressie McMillan Cottom writes.

Here are columns by David Brooks on how Democrats can win, Michelle Goldberg on Biden’s loss of support and Paul Krugman on J.D. Vance.

SPORTS

W.N.B.A.: The All-Star Game tomorrow night has an intriguing format: Team W.N.B.A., featuring Caitlin Clark and Angel Reese, versus the U.S. Olympic team. Who’s the favorite?

N.B.A.: The Denver Nuggets are a front-runner to sign the former M.V.P. Russell Westbrook, who struggled last season with the Los Angeles Clippers.

ARTS AND IDEAS

Young men are buying stiff chewing gum from brands that claim their products will build jaw muscles. The gum — in flavors like Muscle Mango and Jacked Watermelon — has caught on with teenage boys who hope to look more masculine by bulking up their jawlines. Dentists aren’t happy about the trend.

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