A Biden Confidant Emerges as a Crucial Mideast Diplomat

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A Biden Confidant Emerges as a Crucial ******** Diplomat

A few weeks before ****** attacked ******* on Oct. 7, a senior White House official visited eastern Lebanon for a sightseeing trip that doubled as a dramatic political statement.

The official, Amos Hochstein, one of President Biden’s most trusted national security advisers, toured the ancient ruins of Baalbek in an area well known as a stronghold of Hezbollah, a U.S.-designated ********** group sponsored by Iran.

Wearing white pants and a golf shirt, and with no security entourage, Mr. Hochstein marveled at the artifacts and snapped photos of the onetime Roman city’s crumbling stone walls and columns. Keeping watch from a distance were several muscular men in ****** T-shirts — presumed Hezbollah militiamen.

The trip caused a minor sensation in Lebanese news media, which

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how a top ********* official — one born in *******, no less — was able to move so freely on Hezbollah turf.

The trip demonstrated the surprising way Mr. Hochstein has become one of the few Americans trusted, however grudgingly, by Hezbollah’s leadership. And that trust is crucial today, now that Mr. Biden has designated Mr. Hochstein as his diplomatic point man for preventing clashes across the *******-Lebanon border from exploding into a war that could be even more devastating than the conflict in Gaza.

Officially, Mr. Hochstein, 51, is Mr. Biden’s top aide for global energy and infrastructure. But his wonky title does not capture the ever-broadening portfolio bestowed upon him by a president whose close confidence he has earned over more than a decade and who is said to view his adviser as a results-getting “doer.”

Mr. Hochstein has made at least five trips to ******* and Lebanon since the war in Gaza prompted Hezbollah to launch rocket attacks on northern ******* in solidarity with ******. He speaks constantly with Lebanese officials as well as top ******** officials, sometimes including Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.

“He’s a very close adviser of the president,” said Edward M. Gabriel, the president of the ********* Task Force on Lebanon, a nonprofit organization in Washington that seeks better relations between the ******* States and Lebanon. “As a consequence, I think he can speak with a lot of authority when he’s in the field.”

Last week, Mr. Hochstein, who cuts a dashing profile in his slim-fitting suits and slicked-back hair, was in Paris coordinating U.S. and French efforts to bring calm to the *******-Lebanon border. In mid-June, he saw officials in both countries, and a week later met twice in Washington with *******’s defense minister, Yoav Gallant, with whom he speaks on a regular basis.

In addition to his work on the *******-Hezbollah file, Mr. Hochstein has also been one of Mr. Biden’s main envoys to Saudi Arabia. He was among the U.S. officials who helped convince Mr. Biden that the ******* States should not ostracize Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman despite revulsion over the ******* of the Saudi dissident and Washington Post columnist Jamal Khashoggi in 2018.

Working in tandem with a White House colleague, Brett McGurk, the top National Security Council official for Middle East affairs, he has led quiet diplomacy in pursuit of an ambitious grand bargain that would include a U.S.-Saudi security agreement and normalized diplomatic relations between ******* and Saudi Arabia. Mr. Hochstein has met with Prince Mohammed more than a dozen times, talks that have also included Saudi oil production plans. (Mr. Hochstein reports to and works closely with the president’s national security adviser, Jake Sullivan.)

A former lobbyist, congressional aide and executive at the natural gas firm Tellurian, Mr. Hochstein is passionate about renewable energy, and has

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his purchase of an all-electric Ford Mustang with rooftop solar panels, although some environmental activists have complained about his background in the fossil fuel industry.

He joined the Biden administration as the State Department’s top energy official, helping to manage oil and gas market disruptions after Russia invaded Ukraine. He was reassigned to Mr. Biden’s White House staff early last year, reflecting the trust he has built with Mr. Biden over many years, including during numerous foreign trips he joined when Mr. Biden was vice president and Mr. Hochstein was a State Department energy policy official.

“President Biden likes and admires him,” said Aaron David Miller, a senior fellow with the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, who recently hosted Mr. Hochstein for an online conversation. “Anyone who can help convince President Biden that M.B.S. should move from being a pariah to a partner — that takes a lot of lifting,” he added, referring to Prince Mohammed by his initials.

Mr. Hochstein is now in the daily thick of a simmering crisis that has become one of the Biden administration’s greatest worries: that low-grade fighting between ******* and Hezbollah could escalate into a nightmare scenario that draws Iran and the ******* States into the conflict more directly.

Based in southern Lebanon, Hezbollah was formed in the 1980s to resist *******’s invasion of the country. It has developed a huge arsenal of rockets and missiles capable of inflicting enormous damage on *******’s cities.

“There is a very active mini-war going on between ******* and Lebanon,” Mr. Hochstein said during his Carnegie Endowment talk. “Thousands of rockets have been fired from Lebanon into *******, and thousands of rounds have been shot by ******* into Lebanon.” (The White House declined to make Mr. Hochstein available for an interview.)

The fighting has driven some 60,000 Israelis from the border area and displaced 90,000 Lebanese. In remarks on July 1, Secretary of State Antony J. Blinken said that ******* had “effectively lost sovereignty” in its north because of Hezbollah’s attacks.

In addition to striking Hezbollah positions over the past several months, ******* has also targeted some of its top commanders. A July 3 drone strike on one commander prompted a retaliatory barrage of more than 100 rockets into *******. On Tuesday, Hezbollah said an ******** strike in Syria

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of the group’s leader, Hassan Nasrallah; a retaliatory *******

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.

Casualties on both sides have been low relative to the fighting, Mr. Hochstein said at Carnegie. But every day without a diplomatic solution carries risk, he warned, such as an errant missile mistakenly striking a “bus full of children.”

That, he said, could lead to retaliation that triggers all-out conflict “even though both sides probably understand that a fuller or deeper-scale war is in neither side’s interest.”

Mr. Netanyahu has faced growing pressure to restore security so that displaced Israelis can return home safe from Hezbollah rockets, not to mention the now-vivid ***** of an Oct. 7-style ********. U.S. officials say that as ******* scales down its campaign against a weakened ****** in Gaza, it may turn its sights toward a possible war against Hezbollah.

Mr. Hochstein’s mission is to find a diplomatic alternative. U.S. officials say the best hope is a cease-***** in Gaza, which Hezbollah leaders say would cause them to stop their attacks. But even then, ******* would still insist that its northern border be made more secure.

So in addition to trying to restrain the two sides from major escalation, Mr. Hochstein has been negotiating a plan under which Hezbollah would pull back its forces several miles from *******’s border — possibly in return for U.S. economic aid for southern Lebanon and changes to ******** military positions.

******** officials contend that Hezbollah should be making most, if not all, of the concessions, saying the group has long been in obvious violation of a 2006 U.N. Security Council resolution that ended the last major conflict between ******* and Hezbollah. Hezbollah has flouted the resolution’s effective call that it keep its forces behind the Litani River, some 18 miles north of the *******-Lebanon border.

While an energy and infrastructure professional like Mr. Hochstein might seem an unlikely mediator for an armed conflict, he is actually revisiting familiar territory. In 2021 and 2022, he helped ******* and Lebanon defuse another potential source of conflict, hammering out a maritime border agreement that determined the rights to lucrative undersea natural gas reserves.

Hezbollah carries strong influence with the country’s Shiite ******* political leaders, and its assent was required to clinch the maritime deal.

What is more, Mr. Hochstein says, Lebanon has a special place in his heart.

“I fell in love with Lebanon” in 1995, Mr. Hochstein told Mr. Miller, the Carnegie senior fellow. It was his first visit, and he has returned at least once almost every year since, he said. “I’m attracted to the tragedy of Lebanon.”

During his mid-June trip, Mr. Hochstein delivered a particularly sensitive message to Hezbollah. Fearing a miscalculation, he warned its leaders not to assume that the ******* States could restrain ******* from launching a full-scale ******* on the group, according to people familiar with the exchange.

Mr. Hochstein’s background — he is not a trained foreign service officer — has raised some eyebrows among diplomats who note that he is carrying out the sort of sensitive work typically handled by State Department regional experts.

***** officials and media outlets also remark frequently on Mr. Hochstein’s ******* heritage and service in the ******** Defense Forces.

In 2021 Lebanon’s foreign minister, whose country prohibits visits by Israelis, said that he would deal with Mr. Hochstein as a U.S. envoy “and not in his ******** capacity.” (Mr. Hochstein, born in ******* to ********* parents, no longer holds ******** citizenship. He has lived in the ******* States since the 1990s.)

As evidenced by his trip to Baalbek, analysts say, that has not been a major problem. “He has the trust of these key interlocutors in Beirut and perhaps, one might even infer, of Hezbollah,” said Firas Maksad, a senior fellow at the Middle East Institute.

Because U.S. officials are barred by law from talking to members of ********** groups, Mr. Hochstein trades messages with Hezbollah via Nabih Berri, the longtime speaker of Lebanon’s Parliament.

Analysts say that the foreign officials Mr. Hochstein speaks with respect his closeness with Mr. Biden.

And as Mr. Biden’s political standing has wavered amid doubts about his viability as the Democratic presidential nominee, Mr. Hochstein has made his own opinion clear.

After The New York Times editorial board on June 28 called on Mr. Biden to leave the race, Senator John Fetterman, Democrat of Pennsylvania, used a profanity in dismissing the editorial on social media.

Mr. Hochstein promptly reposted the message on his personal account.

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