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Long-Run Forecasts Put US Equities, Commodities Behind Other Assets


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  • Diamond Member

The long-run expected total return for the Global Market Index (GMI) continued to hold in the low-7% range in August, based on the average for three models (defined below). The expected performance remains well below the trailing 10-year return for GMI, a market-value weighted mix of the (excluding cash). US equities and commodities are the downside outliers for expected return in relative…

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