Russell 2000 Breakout Support Remains Intact; Nasdaq, S&P 500 Bull-Trap Risks Fade

[Pelican Press 0]

Russell 2000 Breakout Support ******** Intact; Nasdaq, S&P 500 Bull-Trap Risks Fade

The earlier ‘bull trap’ risks look safely put to bed as yesterday’s losses just dipped into the day before yesterday’s gains.

The moved into a ******* of outperformance relative to the (), although it came with higher volume (distribution) selling.

The MACD is still on a ‘sell’ trigger, although it has flat-lined for most of 2024.

SPX-Daily Chart

The is working through a more substantial ‘bearish engulfing pattern’, but without the higher volume distribution of the S&P 500.

It has ‘sell’ triggers in the MACD and On-Balance-Volume to work off, in addition to a relative underperformance to the S&P 500 (but not the Russell 2000).

SPX-Daily Chart

The Russell 2000 ($IWM) is perhaps the index most vulnerable to further selling given it has finished on breakout support.

The breakout ******** intact, but further losses and a loss of the 20-day MA would signal something worse; a move back to $190 would seem to be the most likely outcome of a loss of breakout support.

IWM-Daily Chart

The Russell 2000 ($IWM) is the index that typically leads bull and bear markets. At the moment, it’s still on the bull’s side, but if there is a loss of breakout support before the end of the week then play it more cautiously for the Nasdaq and S&P 500.

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[S&P 500, US Small Cap 2000, iShares Core S&P 500 ETF, SPDR® S&P 500
#Russell #Breakout #Support #******** #Intact #Nasdaq #BullTrap #Risks #Fade

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