Federal election 2025: Polls open in most states as millions decide on Australia’s future

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Federal election 2025: Polls open in most states as millions decide on Australia’s future

Polls have opened across eastern states for the federal election, with millions of Australians to cast their ballot to decide the country’s political future.

Election day has arrived after a five-week campaign where Prime Minister Anthony Albanese and Opposition Leader Peter Dutton crisscrossed the country to win support in crucial marginal seats.

An estimated 10 million people are expected to cast their ballot on Saturday, with more than seven million already voting during the two-week pre-poll *******.

Mr Albanese is aiming to become the first prime minister since 2004 to win back-to-back elections, while Mr Dutton is fighting to overcome history to be the first leader since 1931 to unseat a government after one term.

But the opposition leader will also have to overcome opinion polls, with the final YouGov poll before polling day showing Labor in the box seat to form majority government.

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The poll, provided to AAP, showed Labor ahead 52.2 per cent to 47.8 per cent on a two-party preferred basis.

The survey of more than 3000 people would mean Labor would slightly increase its vote from the 2022 election by 0.07 per cent.

The coalition would receive 31.4 per cent of the primary vote, followed by Labor on 31.1 per cent, with the Greens on 14.6 per cent.

One Nation would get 8.5 per cent of the primary vote, with 6.7 per cent voting for an independent, while 2.5 per cent would go for Clive Palmer’s Trumpet of Patriots party.

The opposition leader’s satisfaction level among voters has also plummeted to its lowest level at minus 24, compared with minus six for the prime minister.

Mr Albanese also leads Mr Dutton 51 per cent to 34 per cent as preferred prime minister.

YouGov’s director of public data Paul Smith said Mr Dutton’s standing among voters had been the contributing factor to Labor’s success in the polls.

“The decisive fall for the coalition among outer-suburban and provincial votes in key seats will mean Labor will be placed to improve slightly their total over (the last election),” he told AAP.

“The driving force this election campaign is the unpopularity of Peter Dutton.”

The YouGov poll also revealed 38 per cent of those surveyed had already cast their ballot during the pre-poll *******.

The *********** Electoral Commission said on Friday more than 7.3 million people had already cast their ballot, while more than 10 million are expected to vote on Saturday.

Despite the polls, Mr Albanese said he was not taking the election result for granted.

“I’m working my guts out to ensure there’s a majority government,” he told reporters on Friday.

Mr Dutton said he was still confident of a coalition victory at the election.

“We have worked hard every day and night, and I have given it all my all, as well as my team,” he said.

Labor goes into election day with 78 seats, while the coalition have 57 in the 150-seat House of Representatives.

A majority of 76 seats is needed for a party to form government.

The YouGov poll of 3003 people was carried out between April 24 and May 1, with a margin of error of 2.3 per cent.

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