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******* deaths expected to nearly double worldwide by 2050

******* ******* cells

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The number of ******* deaths worldwide is expected to nearly double by 2050, largely due to increases in low and middle-income countries.

Researchers at the University of Queensland in Australia made the discovery by looking at ******* cases and ****** rates from 185 countries, including 36 types of *******, from the Global ******* Observatory database. They then projected future ******* cases and deaths by applying these rates to the 2050 population predictions from the ******* Nations (UN) Development Programme.

They found that the total number of ******* cases worldwide is expected to grow by nearly 77 per cent between 2022 and 2050, which would mean an additional 15.3 million ******* cases on top of the 20 million that occurred in 2022. Global ******* deaths are also projected to rise by almost 90 per cent during this *******, resulting in 8.8 million more deaths in 2050 compared with 2022, in which 9.7 million people ***** from the ********.

The largest increases are expected in countries with low-to-middle scores on the UN’s Human Development Index, which scores development based on average life expectancy, education level and income per person. ******* cases and deaths are, on average, anticipated to nearly triple by 2050 in countries with a low score, such as ****** and Afghanistan. Meanwhile, countries with a very high score – such as Norway – are projected to see ******* cases and deaths increase, on average, by more than 42 per cent and 56 per cent, respectively.

This reinforces other evidence that shows

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, says
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at Massachusetts General Hospital in Boston, who was not involved with the study. Multiple factors are probably driving this trend, including that people across the world are living for longer, which raises the risk of *******, he says. However, the work did not account for the advent of new or more effective ******* treatments.

Less developed countries are most likely seeing the greatest increases due to the “so-called Westernisation of populations”, says Chan. “Some of the habits that we traditionally associate with higher risk of *******, such as rising rates of obesity and poor diet, are becoming a trend in low and middle-income countries.”

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